Actors and factors in land-use simulation

The challenge of urban shrinkage

verfasst von

Dagmar Haase, Annegret Haase, Nadja Kabisch, Sigrun Kabisch, Dieter Rink

Abstract

Both modelers and social scientists attempt to find better explanations of complex urban systems. They include development paths, underlying driving forces and their expected impacts. So far, land-use research has predominantly focused on urban growth. However, new challenges have arisen since urban shrinkage entered the research agenda of the social and land-use sciences. Therefore, the focus of this paper is a twofold one: Using the example of urban shrinkage, we first discuss the capacity of existing land-use modeling approaches to integrate new social science knowledge in terms of land-use, demography and governance because social science models are indispensable for accurately explaining the processes behind shrinkage. Second, we discuss the combination of system dynamics (SD), cellular automata (CA) and agent-based model (ABM) approaches to cover the main characteristics, processes and patterns of urban shrinkage. Using Leipzig, Germany, as a case study, we provide the initial results of a joint SD-CA model and an ABM that both operationalize social science knowledge regarding urban shrinkage.

Externe Organisation(en)

Humboldt-Universität zu Berlin
Helmholtz-Zentrum für Umweltforschung (UFZ)
Helmholtz Zentrum München - Deutsches Forschungszentrum für Gesundheit und Umwelt

Typ

Artikel

Journal

Environmental Modelling and Software

Band

35

Seiten

92-103

Anzahl der Seiten

12

ISSN

1364-8152

Publikationsdatum

07.2012

Publikationsstatus

Veröffentlicht

Peer-reviewed

Ja

ASJC Scopus Sachgebiete

Software, Environmental engineering, Ökologische Modellierung

Ziele für nachhaltige Entwicklung

SDG 11 – Nachhaltige Städte und Gemeinschaften, SDG 15 – Lebensraum Land

Elektronische Version(en)

https://doi.org/10.1016/j.envsoft.2012.02.012 (Zugang: Unbekannt)