Towards more sustainable transportation

Receding horizon predictive energy management for powered truck-trailers using probabilistic efficiency models

Authored by

D. Bank, R. Schluender, J. P. Kobler, P. Cujic, T. Seel, D. O.M. Weber, S. F.G. Ehlers

Abstract

Heavy-duty trucks are significant contributors to global CO2 emissions, necessitating innovative decarbonization solutions. Electric-powered trailers that assist the main tractor's internal combustion engine represent a promising approach. However, their limited energy storage and ’sensor-poor’ modular design, lacking access to the tractor's internal data, are key challenges that limit their adoption. This paper presents a novel receding-horizon predictive Energy Management Strategy (EMS) that overcomes these challenges. A hierarchical controller that optimizes a flexible ’saving efficiency’ threshold is proposed, rather than a rigid State of Charge (SoC) trajectory commonly used in existing hierarchical EMSs. This ’saving efficiency’ metric quantifies the diesel fuel saved per unit of electrical energy consumed. A Dynamic Programming (DP) algorithm, operating at a high level in a receding-horizon framework, leverages statistical efficiency distributions to determine the optimal threshold. A low-level, real-time controller then activates assistance only when the current estimated efficiency exceeds this threshold. This strategy enables opportunistic, real-time control in a sensor-poor environment. The proposed framework is validated in a comprehensive simulation environment using NREL drive cycles and over 2200 km of recorded real-world test driving profiles. Results demonstrate substantial improvements: in simulation, the proposed RH-EMS increased the net CO2 savings by 32.3% on NREL drive cycles and by 19% on simulations using real-world driving profiles compared to a standard linear-discharge baseline strategy. The successful development of this EMS represents an important step towards enabling substantial, real-world CO2 reductions in the heavy-duty logistics sector.

Details

Organisation(s)
Institute of Mechatronic Systems
External Organisation(s)
BPW Bergische Achsen KG
Karlsruhe Institute of Technology (KIT)
Type
Article
Journal
Energy Conversion and Management: X
Volume
30
ISSN
2590-1745
Publication date
05.2026
Publication status
Published
Peer reviewed
Yes
ASJC Scopus subject areas
Renewable Energy, Sustainability and the Environment, Nuclear Energy and Engineering, Fuel Technology, Energy Engineering and Power Technology
Sustainable Development Goals
SDG 7 - Affordable and Clean Energy, SDG 9 - Industry, Innovation, and Infrastructure
Electronic version(s)
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ecmx.2026.101707 (Access: Open )