Climate anomalies and international migration

A disaggregated analysis for West Africa

verfasst von

Fernanda Martínez Flores, Sveta Milusheva, Arndt R. Reichert, Ann Kristin Reitmann

Abstract

Migration is one measure that individuals can take to adjust to the adverse impacts of increasingly extreme weather that can arise from climate change. Using novel geo-referenced high-frequency data, we investigate the impact of soil moisture anomalies on migration within West Africa and towards Europe. We estimate that a standard deviation decrease in soil moisture leads to a 2-percentage point drop in the probability of international migration, equivalent to a 25 percent decrease in the number of international migrants. This effect is concentrated during the months that immediately follow the crop-growing season among areas in the middle of the income distribution. The findings suggest that weather anomalies negatively affect agricultural production, leading to liquidity constraints that prevent people from moving internationally.

Organisationseinheit(en)

Institut für Gesundheitsökonomie

Externe Organisation(en)

RWI - Leibniz-Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung e.V.
Weltbank
Universität Passau
Forschungsinstitut zur Zukunft der Arbeit (IZA)

Typ

Artikel

Journal

Journal of Environmental Economics and Management

Band

126

Anzahl der Seiten

27

ISSN

0095-0696

Publikationsdatum

07.2024

Publikationsstatus

Veröffentlicht

Peer-reviewed

Ja

ASJC Scopus Sachgebiete

Volkswirtschaftslehre und Ökonometrie, Management, Monitoring, Politik und Recht

Ziele für nachhaltige Entwicklung

SDG 2 – Kein Hunger, SDG 13 – Klimaschutzmaßnahmen

Elektronische Version(en)

https://hdl.handle.net/10986/35612 (Zugang: Offen)
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jeem.2024.102997 (Zugang: Geschlossen)